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Thread: Regional Ranking Predictions after 7 games

  1. #1
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    Default Regional Ranking Predictions after 7 games

    I believe next week Regional Rankings will be released. I think this week is their practice round. There was definitely some shakeup. TX A&M Commerce fans, do not panic as I see you jumping back into the mix at the end.

    *Games to Watch*:
    Eastern New Mexico (2-5) @ West Texas A&M (4-2) - Wagon Wheel Rivalry
    Minnesota State (7-0) @ Bemidji State (5-2)
    MN Duluth (7-0) @ Winona State (5-2)
    Azusa Pacific (5-1) @ Colorado Mines (7-0) - Big Regional Game
    CSU - Pueblo (6-1) @ Adams State (4-3)
    Dixie State (5-2) @ Chadron State (4-2)


    This poll is using the statistics that the NCAA identifies: D2 %, SOS, D2 Road, D2 vs.500, In Region % then there are bonuses given for In region wins and penalties for losses. (This formula was fairly close to final from last year).:
    1.) MN State
    2.) MN Duluth
    3.) Tarleton State
    4.) Colorado Mines
    5.) Midwestern State
    6.) CSU - Pueblo
    7.) Central Washington
    8.) Azusa Pacific
    9.) West Texas A&M
    10.) Winona State
    11.) St Cloud
    12.) Bemidji State
    13.) TX A&M Commerce
    14.) Dixie State
    15.) Moorhead State


    Set of numbers based on In Region W%+SOS+Overall D2 W%+D2 Road %:

    1.) MN State - .817
    1.) MN Duluth - .817
    3.) Tarleton State - .797
    4.) CSU - Pueblo - .781
    5.) Colorado Mines - .769
    6.) Central Washington - .703
    7.) Midwestern State - .697
    8.) Azusa Pacific - .688
    9.) West Texas A&M - .673
    10.) Dixie State - .646
    11.) TX A&M Commerce - .6374
    12.) St Cloud - .6373
    13.) Moorhead State - .629
    14.) Winona State - .602
    15.) Bemidji State - .596

    Using Just Performance Index:
    1.) MN State - 19.29
    1.) MN Duluth - 19.29
    3.) CSU - Pueblo - 18.429
    4.) Tarleton State - 18
    5.) Colorado Mines - 16.58
    6.) Central Washington - 16
    7.) West Texas A&M - 15.334
    8.) Midwestern State - 15
    9.) Azusa Pacific - 14.5
    10.) TX A&M Commerce - 13.72

  2. #2
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    Default Re: Regional Ranking Predictions after 7 games

    Nice breakdown

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    Default Re: Regional Ranking Predictions after 7 games

    Didn’t get the order correct but had all of the correct teams in my picks!

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    Default Re: Regional Ranking Predictions after 7 games

    Quote Originally Posted by Casual_Observer View Post
    I believe next week Regional Rankings will be released. I think this week is their practice round. There was definitely some shakeup. TX A&M Commerce fans, do not panic as I see you jumping back into the mix at the end.
    Thanks for all the work, CO!

  5. #5

    Default Re: Regional Ranking Predictions after 7 games

    After this weeks game against 5-2 Winona, UMD’s last 3 opponents current record is 3-18. That’s gonna kill their SOS.
    The “benefit??” Of playing in the weak half of the conference.

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    Default Re: Regional Ranking Predictions after 7 games

    Quote Originally Posted by MNXplorer View Post
    After this weeks game against 5-2 Winona, UMD’s last 3 opponents current record is 3-18. That’s gonna kill their SOS.
    The “benefit??” Of playing in the weak half of the conference.
    I pointed this out in a different thread. Kato and umd basically have the same sos %. But Mankatos final 3 opponents have 8 wins.

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    Default Re: Regional Ranking Predictions after 7 games

    Quote Originally Posted by Twincitiesmav View Post
    I pointed this out in a different thread. Kato and umd basically have the same sos %. But Mankatos final 3 opponents have 8 wins.
    100% correct this will drop them down to the 4 seed more than likely unless Midwestern beats Tarleton.

  8. #8

    Default Re: Regional Ranking Predictions after 7 games

    Quote Originally Posted by MNXplorer View Post
    After this weeks game against 5-2 Winona, UMD’s last 3 opponents current record is 3-18. That’s gonna kill their SOS.
    The “benefit??” Of playing in the weak half of the conference.
    While it is nice having a higher seed to not travel the main thing is taking care of business. It would hurt a fridge team, but Kato and UMD both know they are in if they take care of business. Regardless you have to make it happen in post season.

    A lot are calling for a close game between Winona and Duluth. I think it will take a miracle for Winona to be within two touchdowns. Winona struggled with the Wolves, Duluth and Bemidji had a close one, Bemidji smoked NSU. I know all isn't equal on comparisons like that...but Duluth should run away with this one. If Bemidji plays well I could see that one versus Mankato being tight. What scares me about Kato is I feel they can put up points but there defense (when talking about playoffs teams) doesnt seem to be all that great. Obviously they can hold the lower teams in the NSIC in check but can they do it when they face the cream of the crop?

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    Default Re: Regional Ranking Predictions after 7 games

    Quote Originally Posted by Casual_Observer View Post
    100% correct this will drop them down to the 4 seed more than likely unless Midwestern beats Tarleton.
    You talking about Duluth, Mankato or both?
    Only thing going against Tarleton is they’ve played one less game.

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    Default Re: Regional Ranking Predictions after 7 games

    Quote Originally Posted by NSU4LIFE View Post
    While it is nice having a higher seed to not travel the main thing is taking care of business. It would hurt a fridge team, but Kato and UMD both know they are in if they take care of business. Regardless you have to make it happen in post season.

    A lot are calling for a close game between Winona and Duluth. I think it will take a miracle for Winona to be within two touchdowns. Winona struggled with the Wolves, Duluth and Bemidji had a close one, Bemidji smoked NSU. I know all isn't equal on comparisons like that...but Duluth should run away with this one. If Bemidji plays well I could see that one versus Mankato being tight. What scares me about Kato is I feel they can put up points but there defense (when talking about playoffs teams) doesnt seem to be all that great. Obviously they can hold the lower teams in the NSIC in check but can they do it when they face the cream of the crop?
    The pass defense does worry me when they play pass heavy teams. Luckily our offense has been able to bail out the defense but it isn’t guaranteed every game going forward. It’s been better now then the start of the season but still needs to improve. Getting pressure on the QB will help neutralize our pass coverage and less pressure on them. Our d line leads the nation in sacks with 33.

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