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Thread: Playoff Watch after Week 7

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    Default Playoff Watch after Week 7

    In lieu of a blog this week, I thought I could at least put this on here...

    Plus, picking the games really has become a crapshoot this year....even this week’s slate has NSU@MSSU.

    (Randy, I know a WU fan had an incredible year awhile back, but what is the record for lowest % that won? I imagine that record is in serious trouble.)

    Anyway, here is this week’s Playoff Watch (I have omitted Davenport from the list since they are not eligible this year):

    Undefeated:

    Ouachita Baptist (vs. SAU, at HSU)
    Ferris State (at SVSU, vs Davenport)

    One Loss Teams:

    Southern Arkansas (at HSU, at OBU)
    Grand Valley State (at SVSU, vs. Ashland)
    Saginaw Valley State (vs FSU, vs. GVSU, at Davenport)
    Indianapolis (vs. McKendree, at TSU)
    Missouri S&T (at McKendree)
    Northwest Missouri State (vs. FHSU)

    Two Loss Teams:

    Harding (vs. SEOSU)
    Southeast Oklahoma State (at HSU, at Harding)
    Truman State (at UIndy)
    Fort Hays State (at UNK, at NWMSU)
    Pittsburg State (at MWSU, vs. WU)

    Three Loss Teams:

    Henderson State, Ashland, McKendree, Central Oklahoma, Emporia State, Missouri Western State, Nebraska Kearney, Washburn


    There are now eight teams with one loss or less, and thirteen with two or less. I’m not ready to start figuring the three loss teams in just yet, but the way the region is playing out, I think we may see a three loss team get in again. UCM was the only team that dropped to four losses, so there are 8 MIAA teams still alive.

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by Ian Carlson View Post
    In lieu of a blog this week, I thought I could at least put this on here...

    Plus, picking the games really has become a crapshoot this year....even this week’s slate has NSU@MSSU.

    (Randy, I know a WU fan had an incredible year awhile back, but what is the record for lowest % that won? I imagine that record is in serious trouble.)

    Anyway, here is this week’s Playoff Watch (I have omitted Davenport from the list since they are not eligible this year):

    Undefeated:

    Ouachita Baptist (vs. SAU, at HSU)
    Ferris State (at SVSU, vs Davenport)

    One Loss Teams:

    Southern Arkansas (at HSU, at OBU)
    Grand Valley State (at SVSU, vs. Ashland)
    Saginaw Valley State (vs FSU, vs. GVSU, at Davenport)
    Indianapolis (vs. McKendree, at TSU)
    Missouri S&T (at McKendree)
    Northwest Missouri State (vs. FHSU)

    Two Loss Teams:

    Harding (vs. SEOSU)
    Southeast Oklahoma State (at HSU, at Harding)
    Truman State (at UIndy)
    Fort Hays State (at UNK, at NWMSU)
    Pittsburg State (at MWSU, vs. WU)

    Three Loss Teams:

    Henderson State, Ashland, McKendree, Central Oklahoma, Emporia State, Missouri Western State, Nebraska Kearney, Washburn


    There are now eight teams with one loss or less, and thirteen with two or less. I’m not ready to start figuring the three loss teams in just yet, but the way the region is playing out, I think we may see a three loss team get in again. UCM was the only team that dropped to four losses, so there are 8 MIAA teams still alive.
    Will be...
    4 Loss teams:
    Pittsburg State
    Sent from my GorillaPad

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    MIAA Standings

    1. Northwest Missouri 6-1 (at LU, at NSU, vs FHSU, at UCM)
    T2. Fort Hays State 5-2 (at UNK, vs LU, at NWMSU, vs NSU)
    T2. Pittsburg State 5-2 (vs UCM, at MW, vs WU, at MoSo)
    T4. Central Oklahoma 4-3 (vs WU, at MoSo, at NSU, vs ESU)
    T4. Emporia State 4-3 (vs MW, at WU, vs MoSo, at UCO)
    T4. Missouri Western 4-3 (at ESU, vs PSU, at UNK, vs LU)
    T4. Nebraska-Kearney 4-3 (vs FHSU, at UCM, vs MW, at WU)
    T4. Washburn 4-3 (at UCO, ESU, at PSU, vs UNK)
    T9. Central Missouri 3-4 (at PSU, UNK, at LU, NWMSU)
    T9. Lindenwood 3-4 (vs NWMSU, at FH, vs UCM, at MWSU)
    TL. Missouri Southern 0-7 (vs NSU, vs UCO, at ESU, vs PSU)
    TL. Northeastern State 0-7 (at MoSo, vs NWMSU, UCO, at FHSU)
    Go Bronchos!

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by UCObluejay View Post
    MIAA Standings

    1. Northwest Missouri 6-1 (at LU, at NSU, vs FHSU, at UCM)
    T2. Fort Hays State 5-2 (at UNK, vs LU, at NWMSU, vs NSU)
    T2. Pittsburg State 5-2 (vs UCM, at MW, vs WU, at MoSo)
    T4. Central Oklahoma 4-3 (vs WU, at MoSo, at NSU, vs ESU)
    T4. Emporia State 4-3 (vs MW, at WU, vs MoSo, at UCO)
    T4. Missouri Western 4-3 (at ESU, vs PSU, at UNK, vs LU)
    T4. Nebraska-Kearney 4-3 (vs FHSU, at UCM, vs MW, at WU)
    T4. Washburn 4-3 (at UCO, ESU, at PSU, vs UNK)
    T9. Central Missouri 3-4 (at PSU, UNK, at LU, NWMSU)
    T9. Lindenwood 3-4 (vs NWMSU, at FH, vs UCM, at MWSU)
    TL. Missouri Southern 0-7 (vs NSU, vs UCO, at ESU, vs PSU)
    TL. Northeastern State 0-7 (at MoSo, vs NWMSU, UCO, at FHSU)
    Don't think MIAA makes any noise in the playoffs this year. Probably just NW gets in. Hays has taken a step back this year. Pitt sucks and played all the bad teams early

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by HookemHerd View Post
    Don't think MIAA makes any noise in the playoffs this year. Probably just NW gets in. Hays has taken a step back this year. Pitt sucks and played all the bad teams early
    Curious, which conference do you think gets 3 teams in? Because outside of Ferris and Grand Valley the GLIAC doesn't have a third team (Saginaw will loss a couple more); GAC isn't getting a 3rd team in over a second MIAA team. So that really only leaves Missouri S&T if you think GLVC will get two teams in (they won't)

  6. #6

    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by EveryCatAWildman View Post
    So that really only leaves Missouri S&T if you think GLVC will get two teams in (they won't)
    The GLVC is shaping up to finish the regular season with just two one-loss teams -- UIndy (only loss to Grand Valley) and Missouri S&T (only D2 loss to UIndy). What will end up hurting S&T is their non-conference SOS will be well below .500 (Northwood, Eastern New Mexico and Tuskegee have eight wins combined), whereas UIndy's will be +.500. Their end-of-season game against Hillsdale will be one to watch.

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by Ian Carlson View Post
    (Randy, I know a WU fan had an incredible year awhile back, but what is the record for lowest % that won? I imagine that record is in serious trouble.)
    2012 - backintheday, GRIFFan_Kyle@MoWest & PowerE finished at 82%. This year's leaders are behind that pace, however, we could always have a finish like 2016 when the favorites won 23 of the 24 games in the final 4 weeks.

    I'll post the standings later but it looks like our leaders are 33-9 or 79%. One of them would have to win 22 of the remaining 24 to avoid at least a tie for that record. 21 would result in tying the record and 20 or less would set a new record for worst % for the leaders.
    Last edited by Randy; 10-15-2018 at 07:41 AM.

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    *PLEASE* let Northwest play Truman in the playoffs at some point... I beg of you, NCAA PO Committee.

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Here's my thoughts *if* the top 4 teams don't lose another game.

    1. Ferris
    2. Ouachita
    3. NW or GV
    4. NW or GV
    5. Who knows
    6. It won't matter

  10. Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by Psycho View Post
    Here's my thoughts *if* the top 4 teams don't lose another game.

    1. Ferris
    2. Ouachita
    3. NW or GV
    4. NW or GV
    5. Who knows
    6. It won't matter
    NW or GV will be a fun test of SOS vs conference champ as the deciding factor. 5ish seed will be UIndy, right? 6-7 will be some mix of GAC2, GLVC2 and whoever comes up with the best resume of the rest of the teams.

    Also, I understand the technical parameters of this list keep Pitt State in, but I don't think anyone with any connection to PSU feels like there's any reason to have us on this list. The idea that we would go 3-0 against the absolute gauntlet of UCM, MW and Washburn just seems unfathomable.

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by GorillaBred View Post
    NW or GV will be a fun test of SOS vs conference champ as the deciding factor. 5ish seed will be UIndy, right? 6-7 will be some mix of GAC2, GLVC2 and whoever comes up with the best resume of the rest of the teams.

    Also, I understand the technical parameters of this list keep Pitt State in, but I don't think anyone with any connection to PSU feels like there's any reason to have us on this list. The idea that we would go 3-0 against the absolute gauntlet of UCM, MW and Washburn just seems unfathomable.
    I think the MIAA can get two in, IF, one of the two loss teams can stay at 2 losses. Which means if Pitt State wins out. If Fort Hays wins at NW and there is a chance they both make it, but best chance of 2 MIAA teams is NW stays with 1 loss, and a 2 loss Pitt. Honestly the way Pitt has looked the last few weeks they will have to have a major improvement these next few weeks. Still a lot of football left and NW has Fort Hays and Central left, Pitt has a few games that could knock them off, Fort Hays has NW left.

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by Psycho View Post
    Here's my thoughts *if* the top 4 teams don't lose another game.

    1. Ferris
    2. Ouachita
    3. NW or GV
    4. NW or GV
    5. Who knows
    6. It won't matter
    Need a #7 right?

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    I'm gonna watch pitt not make the PO's.

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by IowaBearcat View Post
    Need a #7 right?
    7. Are you kidding me?

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by GrifFan View Post
    7. Are you kidding me?
    1 gets bye. 2 vs 7, 3 vs 6, 4 vs 5.

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by CatFan88 View Post
    1 gets bye. 2 vs 7, 3 vs 6, 4 vs 5.
    I think you may have missed his humor!

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by IowaBearcat View Post
    Need a #7 right?
    Won't Matter

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by JR Chaney View Post
    I think the MIAA can get two in, IF, one of the two loss teams can stay at 2 losses. Which means if Pitt State wins out. If Fort Hays wins at NW and there is a chance they both make it, but best chance of 2 MIAA teams is NW stays with 1 loss, and a 2 loss Pitt. Honestly the way Pitt has looked the last few weeks they will have to have a major improvement these next few weeks. Still a lot of football left and NW has Fort Hays and Central left, Pitt has a few games that could knock them off, Fort Hays has NW left.
    Unless Pitt finds themselves, they don't win out. NW should win out to be honest, but they can't blow teams out in the 1st and take foot off the pedal. Hays is better than Pitt. Hays still has UNK at Kearney which is a potential loss. I just don't think the MIAA gets 2 in. The GLIAC is positioned for 3, but SVSU will have to finish strong. The GAC gets 2 to compliment Ouichita (Harding or S. Arkansas), the MIAA 1 (champion) and GLVC 1 (Indy).

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by CatFan88 View Post
    Unless Pitt finds themselves, they don't win out. NW should win out to be honest, but they can't blow teams out in the 1st and take foot off the pedal. Hays is better than Pitt. Hays still has UNK at Kearney which is a potential loss. I just don't think the MIAA gets 2 in. The GLIAC is positioned for 3, but SVSU will have to finish strong. The GAC gets 2 to compliment Ouichita (Harding or S. Arkansas), the MIAA 1 (champion) and GLVC 1 (Indy).
    so if this holds true, and UCO goes 4 and o the rest of the way, no chance of post season play?

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    Default Re: Playoff Watch after Week 7

    Quote Originally Posted by jimbo slice View Post
    so if this holds true, and UCO goes 4 and o the rest of the way, no chance of post season play?
    They’d have a shot, but would need a lot of help. Ferris is likely to win out, and OBU likely finishes out with just one lost at most. Indy and Rolla (MUS&T) will each finish with two losses, I think. NW wins out, they have one loss. GV should finish with one loss. Harding should finish with just two losses. That’s seven teams, and it’s also assuming SAU and SEOSU finish with three losses, which is a big assumption.

    Harding was the exception to the rule last year. For all intents and purposes, 3 losses and you’re out. As it stands now, I think that still holds true this year, but still a lot can happen over the next 4 weeks.

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