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Gilberto Alvarado

Virginia State Stuns Bowie, WSSU looks unstoppable, Who will win the North?

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It's hard to believe, but there is only three weeks left in the football season and the Northern Division seems to be up for grabs. For some odd reason, every time I give a team credit for their victory the previous week, they happen to lose the following week; hence: Bowie State!

Last week I gave Bowie credit winning their game against Chowan which was well deserved, this week, they allow Virginia State to hang around and the VSU Trojans pull off the upset in overtime during Bowie's homecoming. Bowie, you're killing me! As soon as I show you love, you let me down. C'mon son!!!! The Trojan victory basically proves there is no clear cut favorite to win the Northern Division and now it comes down to a three team race between Chowan, Elizabeth City State, and Virginia State.

While most would bet ECSU is the clear cut favorite. I disagree. I think there is no favorite and all three teams have a good chance of winning the division. Regardless of who wins the division, the winner would still have to play either Winston Salem State or Shaw. Unless the Shaw Bears prove me wrong, they just look like a contender for the Southern Division on paper, but the clear cut favorite for the Southern Division will be WSSU. The two meet on October 27th in Raleigh for what looks to be the division title baring any slip up this coming weekend.




Game of the Week

Chowan (4-3, 3-1) at Elizabeth City State (4-3, 3-1) Homecoming

Chowan has a chance to have their first winning season since moving up to D2. In fact, it might be their first winning season since going from a two year school to a four year school. Their offense can put up some serious numbers and they can go toe to toe with the best of them. A win by Chowan on the road during ECSU's homecoming, will speak volumes. However, beating the defending Northern Division champs will not be an easy task. ECSU has the best RB in the conference in Daronte McNeill. They have a solid defense and have had a winning formula over the past 5 years. Chowan is new to winning, but Head Coach Tim Place has positioned the Hawks to make history. In my opinion, if you're new to winning, its like have new money, sometimes you just do not know what to do with it.

My prediction: ECSU 34 Chowan 31




Johnson C Smith (3-4, 2-2) at Shaw (4-3, 3-1)


Which Johnson C Smith will show up this weekend? Will it be the team that gave up 55 points in a loss to Lincoln? or will it be the team that beat Fayetteville State last week on the road? Bottom line, this team has been so inconsistent, its nauseating. JCSU is so inconsistent, I cannot pick them to win anything, especially after their loss to Lincoln. For the Shaw Bears, its appears they have their Shaw U Swag back. After starting off 0-2, Shaw has won 4 of 5 and looking like the Shaw teams we are accustomed to. But this is a trap game for Shaw, they could be looking to next weeks match-up against Winston Salem State and could get caught slipping. This game could start off slow for Shaw before they wake up and have a comeback victory.

My prediction: Shaw 24 JCSU 23



Bowie State (4-3, 1-3) at Virginia Union (3-4, 1-3)


Bowie State sure does know how to play with my emotions. As soon as i begin to feel guilty for not giving them credit, they win a big game. But when I give them credit for their accomplishments, they lose a winnable game, and during their homecoming for crying out load! Bowie State is a team I have a love hate relationship with. As far as Virginia Union, I'm not feeling confident about this team at all. There's something about VU I just can't put my finger on. My guess is because they started off 2-0 while playing sub-par competition. Bowie State should win this game, especially after last weeks disappointing loss.

My prediction: Bowie State 28 Virginia Union 24




Lincoln (1-6, 1-3) at Virginia State (3-4, 2-2)


Virginia State pulled off the clutch victory last week at Bowie's Homecoming 26-20 in OT. With that win, if Virginia State wins their remaining games and Chowan can beat ECSU, they would control their own destiny. VSU would have to beat Chowan and win the final game of the season to finish 6-4 to be in Durham for the CIAA Championship. As far as Lincoln, well......next question.


My prediction: Virginia State 35 Lincoln 14


Livingstone (2-5, 2-2) at #4 Winston Salem State (7-0, 4-0)


For the briefest of moments, Livingstone was tied for first place in the division with WSSU. Add a few weeks to the equation, and reality sets in. Winston Salem State is ranked 4th in the D2football.com poll and 2nd in the AFCA poll. They look unstoppable. WSSU's biggest obstacle this year, is themselves. There's no reason why this team should lose any game in the regular season. Especially against Livingstone.

My prediction: WSSU 49 Livingstone 14




Fayetteville State (1-6, 0-4) at St. Aug (4-3, 2-2)

Fayetteville State is falling to the bottom of a bottomless pit. They are on pace to finish 2-8 or 1-9 (pending a homecoming victory). They have finally stuck with one QB and it has not produced any wins. St. Aug is a team jockeying for a Pioneer Bowl berth. St. Aug looks better and should win this game.


My prediction: St. Aug 28 FSU 18



The C'mon Son moment, D2Football.com poll -v- AFCA Poll for WSSU


So this morning D2Football.com releases their poll and WSSU moved up one spot to #4. In the AFCA poll, WSSU is #2. The reason for the C'Mon Son, Northwest Missouri suddenly leapfrogged WSSU from their #7 spot to #3 while they have a 6-1 record. Now lets give Northwest Missouri credit, they upset then #1 Pittsburgh State, but to move up four spots with one loss is a slap in the face to WSSU and the other undefeated schools. As they say "Thats that Bull_ _ _ _"



My inbox, FSU head Coaching situationist

So I have several fans that have in-boxed me; criticizing me about not mentioning the head coaching situation at Fayetteville State. To be honest, I felt there was no need to ever mention FSU Head Coach Kenny Philips being in the hot seat. Here's why, before Kenny Philips came to Fayetteville State, Bronco football was dudu. Yes, garbage! FSU was always a middle of the pack or bottom feeder team. Kenny Philips has three CIAA Championships to his name. He has given three different chancellors rings; Chancellor McLeod, Chancellor TJ Bryan, and Chancellor Anderson rings. Before Phillips, Fayetteville had never won the CIAA EVER. Is that clear, EVER.

But now, my inbox is getting more full, especially after FSU's loss to Johnson C Smith and their QB carousel. While I have criticized their QB situation publicly, never the head coach. I have messages saying his time has passed, and others saying change is needed.

In my eyes, Coach Phillips is a FSU legend. Three rings in 10 years. Three playoff appearances, and a Pioneer Bowl. But we live in a "what have you done for me lately" society. Even Bobby Bowden was eventually run out of town. Bowden, had 20 plus years at Florida State, I think Phillips has earned more time to turn the program around.

Fans, you tell me what you think. FSU fans, I need to hear from you especially since you seem to most concerned about the head coaching situation.

Contact me:

email: ciaad2football@gmail.com
twitter: https://twitter.com/alvarado1906

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Updated 10-16-2012 at 07:47 PM by Gilberto Alvarado

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Comments

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  1. WSSU1996's Avatar
    Great Blog Gil! I concur with your analysis of the Northern Division. It really looks like the last week of the regular season WILL decide their representative. The FSU coaching questions are expected I'd say because of the win now or you're out mentality! Like you said, Gil, "it's what have you done for me lately". Coach Phillips has earned more time in my opinion but Alumni and Booster Supporters can weild more power than you may expect... time will tell. Treat him "right" either way!
  2. ECSU2000's Avatar
    Gil, nice blog this week. The Phillips situation, the school has poured a ton of resources into the football program and they want return. I mean have you seen there facilities, they are pretty good and not to metntion the Jumbo tron that hangs over the field. Somebody has to pay for that. The point is he has not done anything since Maynor has left, which make it seems like Maynor had a lot to do with the 3 rings you boast about. What you think?
  3. ECSU2000's Avatar
    Lastly, although I am an ECSU guy you know, but WSSU got hosed by d2 again. I just don't know what BOB, Brandon and the boys are seeing. At this rate WSSU can win the national Championship and still be ranked #3 in their polls.... C'mon son....
  4. VegasViking's Avatar
    Awesome blog Gil.

    There are coaches in the CIAA who would kill for Phillips' three championships (one in particular comes to mind). I'm torn on whether he should get the boot, but ECSU2000 does raise a good point about the correlation between Maynor's departure and the decline of FSU football. Maybe it IS time for him to go.
  5. VegasViking's Avatar
    Regarding WSSU's national ranking, a number of their fans and alumni have made it painfully clear that although they dominate the CIAA they'd rather be in the MEAC. My question is (and it's rhetorical), is it wiser to be a D2 powerhouse or preserve their rivalries with NC A&T and NCCU with less national recognition? I can see pros and cons to each.
  6. murdockw's Avatar
    @VegasViking - Being a D2 powerhouse fine but it comes with a financial ceiling. You may get national recognition but D2's visibility is limited. Being in the MEAC would perserve our rivalries but give us the additional exposure D2 can't offer. When's the last time you saw D2 scores on ESPN's ticker? Being D1 could also lead to new rivalries like App State, Elon, etc. Do I love being in the CIAA, YES but I also want WSSU to perform at the highest level possible, if possible.
  7. VegasViking's Avatar
    You know why I'm asking this. The hypocrisy on this here thread is nauseating. http://onnidan1.com/forum/index.php/topic,68624.0.html Especially since some of the people advocating against the game were the same ones advocating FOR it when their school was in y'all position.
  8. ciaascout's Avatar
    In NO WAY should Kenny Phillips should be fired. Oh how people forget how bad FSU football was before he got there. I also look at Kenny Phillips as a FSU legend base off what nobody as ever done at FSU. Because of his own success you want to fire him. He had chances to leave FSU and he chose to stay. Kenny Phillips will not be fired.
  9. Gilberto Alvarado's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by WSSU1996
    .. Coach Phillips has earned more time in my opinion ...!
    I think there is knee jerk reaction going on. Phillips was one win away last season from going to the Pioneer Bowl but the lost to Virginia Union in the season finale. He's EARNED a four year contract extension especially since he has won three rings
  10. Gilberto Alvarado's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by ECSU2000
    .. The point is he has not done anything since Maynor has left..
    While I see your point on Maynor, when Maynor left, he cleaned out the coaching staff. So now you start from scratch. In addition, recruiting is a dirty business and though FSU's facilities are great, they are not better than WSSU's. Yes, Maynor is an offensive Guru, but Phillips is a legend. 2009 is not that long ago and thats the last year FSU won the CIAA.
  11. Gilberto Alvarado's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by ECSU2000
    Lastly, although I am an ECSU guy you know, but WSSU got hosed by d2 again. I just don't know what BOB, Brandon and the boys are seeing. At this rate WSSU can win the national Championship and still be ranked #3 in their polls.... C'mon son....
    I think the D2football poll loses credibility when Northwest Missouri leapfrogs with one loss over undefeated teams
  12. Gilberto Alvarado's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by VegasViking
    ..There are coaches in the CIAA who would kill for Phillips' three...
    C'mon brother, so if Coach Tillar doesnt win the CIAA, should he be fired? Phillips has three rings bruh. Listen, I want FSU to win just as bad as you want ECSU to win, but getting fired when you've brought more to the program than any other coach in the history of the university is an insult. I think people want Phillips fire only so he can go to your school to turn your program around.
  13. Gilberto Alvarado's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by VegasViking
    Regarding WSSU's .. they'd rather be in the MEAC. ...
    WSSU is fine where they are at. This MEAC crap is a mute point. Just basketball alone, the CIAA smokes the MEAC during tournament time. Nobody cares about the MEAC tournament, and football wise, WSSU can beat anyone in the MEAC on any given saturday right now
  14. Gilberto Alvarado's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by ciaascout
    In NO WAY should Kenny Phillips should be fired. Oh how people forget how bad FSU football was before he got there. I also look at Kenny Phillips as a FSU legend base off what nobody as ever done at FSU. Because of his own success you want to fire him. He had chances to leave FSU and he chose to stay. Kenny Phillips will not be fired.
    I agree, I want FSU to win, and their best chance to win now and in the future is with Phillips
  15. LegalRam's Avatar
    I agree I'm tired of the MEAC talk, I was a student when the transition started and it never made since to me. I was happy about going D1, but travel in the MEAC made no since. We should have gone Big South, that way we could have still played 4 or 5 HBCU's as OOC games. In bball being in the MEAC doesn't do so much for you except for the occansional upset every 7 - 10 years in the NCAA Tourny. I'd rather be a powerhouse in D2 then below average in lower level D1.
  16. LegalRam's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Gilberto Alvarado
    I want FSU to win, and their best chance to win now and in the future is with Phillips
    So as a true fan and believer in Phillips how many more seasons would you give him to turn things around? If next season is bad do you start raising concerns, what about the season after that? A few bad seasons and everyone gets use to losing. Just look at what A&T built up in the 90's and early 00's and how that reputation has just died over the last 8 seasons.
  17. VegasViking's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Gilberto Alvarado
    ......getting fired when you've brought more to the program than any other coach in the history of the university is an insult.
    Brother this cracks me up. As I've stated before I'm thankful for what Tillar has done but he's taken us as far as he can. No other CIAA school has suffered through 3 humiliating championship losses. I'd rather not make game than suffer a 4th humiliation. That type of PR is NOT good for the school.
  18. Gilberto Alvarado's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by LegalRam
    I agree I'm tired of the MEAC talk,...
    MEAC talk makes me sleepy. MEAC folks wish they had what we have in the CIAA when it comes to basketball. Football, FAMU, SC State, Hampton, Howard, NC A&T, all have slamming homecomings
  19. ECSU2000's Avatar
    I remember only 1 lost being really bad, that was the SHAW lost. We were in the game last year right up to the end and the year NCCU won they won on the last play of the game the "miricale field Goal".. So I don't know what games you were watching. I attended them all.
    Quote Originally Posted by VegasViking
    No other CIAA school has suffered through 3 humiliating championship losses. I'd rather not make game than suffer a 4th humiliation. That type of PR is NOT good for the school.
  20. Gilberto Alvarado's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by LegalRam
    So as a true fan and believer in Phillips how many more seasons would you give him to turn things around? ....
    I would say, minimum of two, four years tops. Thats after this season
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